Monday 07 November 2011

Brent crude up, eyeing EU efforts

REUTERS -- Brent crude prices rose on Monday to their highest level in more than seven weeks on hopes a new Greek government will allow Europe to contain its debt crisis and on elevated concerns about Iran’s nuclear program.

Brent’s premium to US crude rose to more than $19 a barrel and a push to move it back up toward $20 in a recovery from its recent $15.94 low on Oct. 31 also helped lift Brent prices, brokers and traders said.

After last week’s political crisis in Greece, the country’s political leaders were set to choose who will lead a new

coalition that must push through a bailout agreement before the country runs out of money in mid-December.

Rumors, later denied, that Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi was about to resign, gave oil prices a brief boost.

Also, Russia’s foreign minister warned that any military strike against Iran would be a grave mistake with unpredictable consequences.

That warning came ahead of a report from the UN’s nuclear agency due this week that is expected to show that Iran’s nuclear program is geared to develop weapons.

“The Iran situation is raising oil, especially Brent, because the (UN’s) International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)

is expected to come out with evidence that is pretty damning,” said Bill O’Grady, chief market strategist at Confluence Investment Management in St. Louis.

ICE Brent December crude rose $2.01 to $113.98 a barrel by 1:33 p.m. EST (1833 GMT), having reached $114.88, highest intraday peak since Sept. 15.

US December crude rose 77 cents to $95.03 a barrel, having swung from $93.23 to $95.66.

The volatile trading should not be a surprise with crude trading volumes so tepid. Brent volume was 34 percent below its 30-day average, with US volume 42 percent under its 30-day average after midday in New York.

US gasoline and heating oil futures strengthened, helped by Brent’s surge to outpace US crude futures on a percentage basis.

Speculators raised their net long positions in Brent futures and options in the week to Nov. 1 after cutting them

the previous week, IntercontinentalExchange (ICE) data released on Monday showed.

In addition to revived concerns about the West’s dispute with Iran over Tehran’s nuclear program, stepped up violence in OPEC-member Nigeria and recent North Sea production disruptions also were cited as being more supportive to Brent prices.

Oil prices rose on Monday despite a stronger dollar. A stronger greenback can pressure dollar-denominated oil prices.

The euro dropped against the dollar as record high Italian bond yields and political uncertainty stoked concerns about the region’s sovereign debt problems.

“While the prospect of a unity government is a positive for Greece..., the market has become focused on the potentially much larger problem of Italian debt markets, now that yields have reached new highs,” Lawrence Eagles, analyst JP Morgan Chase in New York said in a report.

Benchmark Italian government bond yields hit 14-year highs and were approaching levels seen as unsustainable.

Europe’s political and sovereign debt uncertainty kept pressure on other markets, including US equities and prices

for copper, a key industrial feedstock.




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