Saturday 22 November 2014

Brinkmanship Heightens as Deadline for a Nuclear Deal With Iran Looms

VIENNA — With only three days to go before a deadline to reach a nuclear accord to constrain Iran’s nuclear program, the talks here appeared to be marked by a heavy dose of brinkmanship on Friday as Iran’s top negotiator made clear he was leaving for Tehran to consult with the country’s leadership — only to reverse himself later in the day.

Iranian news agencies had reported that Mohammad Javad Zarif, Iran’s foreign minister, was returning to Tehran to seek further instructions. The State Department spokeswoman announced soon afterward that Secretary of State John Kerry would be leaving for Paris, where he would confer with European officials and stay in touch with Obama administration officials in Washington.

But Mr. Zarif later deferred his plans, telling Iran’s official IRNA news agency that “there were no remarkable offers and ideas to take to Tehran.” And that led Mr. Kerry to shelve his plan to leave, too.

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American and European officials vowed to press on, and more high-level negotiating sessions were expected on Saturday. Yet the difficulties in the talks suggested it was unlikely that any agreement that might be announced on Monday would be a complete one and increasingly likely that an extension in the deadline would be needed.

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“We’ve been very candid that real differences remain and we’re not going to discuss an extension prematurely with the Iranians because that takes pressure off of them to wrestle with tough issues now,” said a senior State Department official, who declined to be identified because the official was talking about internal deliberations. “But obviously right now we’re meeting and assessing the best course forward,” the official added.

The negotiations in Vienna involve senior diplomats from Iran and the United States, France, Britain, Germany, Russia and China.

The Obama administration’s goal in the talks is to conclude an agreement that would slow the Iranian program to the point that it would take Iran at least a year to make enough fissile material for a nuclear bomb if Tehran later decided to ignore the accord.

A number of key obstacles for an agreement remain. One is how much capacity Iran would be allowed to retain to enrich uranium, an issue that encompasses the size of its nuclear stockpile and the number of centrifuges that could remain installed.

The second centers in on Iran’s demand that economic sanctions be permanently lifted and not just suspended step by step as Iran complies with the terms of the deals

Mr. Kerry joined the current round of talks here on Thursday and has held three joint meetings with Mr. Zarif and Catherine Ashton, the European Union’s envoy to the talks.

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Mr. Kerry consulted also here on the next steps in the talks with Laurent Fabius, the French foreign minister, and Philip Hammond, the British foreign secretary, who flew here Friday. Mr. Hammond later reported that there was “a very significant gap between the parties.”

American officials hope that a successful negotiation would ease tensions with Tehran and discourage other nations in the region from pursuing nuclear arms and enhance the Obama administration’s legacy on foreign policy. But the negotiations are being watched with a wary eye by Israel, Saudi Arabia and many American lawmakers, who fear that a new accord may allow Iran to maintain too much of its nuclear infrastructure and potential bomb-making capability.

Talks last year in Geneva to draft an interim agreement to freeze much of Iran’s nuclear program went down to the wire, but ultimately resulted in an accord. If the negotiating deadline to complete a more comprehensive and enduring agreement were extended, it would be the second time this year. In a news conference on Thursday in Paris, Mr. Kerry sought to justify the time it has taken to pursue a comprehensive accord.

“It was only last year when our nation first resumed high-level contact after decades of stalled relations,” he said. Yet Mr. Kerry was also adamant that the United States was not seeking an extension in the Monday negotiating deadline.

“We are driving towards what we believe is the outline of an agreement that we think we can have,” Mr. Kerry said.

Mr. Hammond was more open earlier this week in acknowledging that some sort of extension of the negotiating deadline might be needed.

During a trip to Latvia earlier this week, Mr. Hammond said he was not optimistic that a comprehensive agreement could be finalized by Monday but expressed the hope that there might yet be “some significant movement” that might warrant yet another deadline extension.

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/22/world/europe/iran-nuclear-talks.html?_r=1




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